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Spain rushes crisis package as fuel prices surge 29% after iran chokehold

Madrid woke up to diesel at €1.837 a litre and the calendar screaming Semana Santa. While families budget €101 to fill a 55-litre tank, the cabinet will cram into an extraordinary Friday session to sign off what officials call a "comprehensive energy shield". Translation: the Treasury will again bankroll the difference between the pump and political reality.

Repsol pre-empts the state with app-only discounts

The playbook is already dog-eared. Repsol dusted off the Waylet strategy it deployed during the Ukraine shock: from 21 March to 6 April the company doubles rebates for anyone paying through its loyalty app. Private drivers and haulers can shave up to 40 cents off each litre, provided they bundle fuel with household electricity or gas contracts. Truckers holding the Solred professional card—250,000 at last count—get an extra five-cent kiss on top. The state has not yet spent a euro; the oil major has already decided who gets relief first.

Why the hurry? Brent cracked $110 after Iran parked tankers sideways in the Strait of Hormuz, throttling the maritime pipe that carries a fifth of global crude. Spanish gasoline is up 16% since the first missiles flew; diesel has sprinted 29%. For a country where 84% of freight moves by road, every cent feeds directly into the price of lettuce in León and car parts in Barcelona.

Tax cuts yes, vat on food no

Tax cuts yes, vat on food no

The forthcoming decree—still wrapped in the usual pre-cabinet cling film—promises "structural and emergency measures" targeting transport and agri-food. Sources with direct knowledge rule out repeating the 2022 grocery VAT cut or rent caps. Instead, the Treasury will recycle the 20-cent pump subsidy that expired last December, tweak electricity levies and inject liquidity into haulage cooperatives. The European Commission’s state-aid desk in Brussels has already been briefed; any scheme must be temporary and proportionate, code for "don’t get addicted".

Parliament will still have to rubber-stamp the package once the ink dries on the royal decree. Opposition parties are sharpening amendments: the centre-right wants deeper corporate tax relief, while the far-left demands a windfall levy on energy companies that tripled margins in 2023. Expect a shouting match before Easter mass.

Meanwhile, the math is merciless. At today’s prices, a medium-sized fleet of 50 trucks racks up an extra €7,300 in monthly fuel costs compared with January. Repsol’s app discount caps the bleeding at roughly €1,800—a tourniquet, not a cure. The rest will be swallowed by higher logistics fees, and eventually by consumers already grappling with sticky inflation at 3.2%.

Spain is betting, again, that a fiscal bandage can hold long enough for geopolitics to cool. The last time it tried this, the Ukraine war dragged on for two years and the subsidy bill topped €5 billion. Hormuz is narrower than the Dnieper, and the gunboats are closer. The cabinet has 48 hours to write the check; the market has already cashed it.