Apple’s foldable gamble: a huawei-fueled hype bubble?

The whispers around Cupertino have finally turned into a potential roar: Apple is preparing to enter the foldable smartphone market. But before we get swept up in the inevitable wave of breathless speculation, it’s crucial to dissect the reality behind the rumors – and frankly, whether this ambitious move is destined to echo the failures of the iPhone Air and 13 mini.

A wider display, a questionable strategy

Rumors point to an ‘iPhone Ultra,’ boasting a significantly wider internal display, bucking the trend of taller, vertically-oriented foldables currently dominating the market. Samsung is reportedly responding with its own ‘Fold Wide’ – a fascinating development, but one that highlights a crucial question: why? Huawei’s Pura X Max, launching later this month in China, is being touted as the first real test of this wide-screen foldable concept, and its success is being leveraged to paint a rosy picture for Apple’s ambitions.

However, the Pura X’s story is complicated. While it’s achieved surprising traction in China – a market often seen as a barometer for global foldable trends – that doesn’t automatically translate to a guaranteed win for Apple. The device itself is a flip foldable, fundamentally different from Apple’s reported book-style design, featuring a relatively modest 3.5-inch cover screen. It’s a compelling technical feat, sure, but it’s not a replacement for a full smartphone experience.

Beyond the form factor

Beyond the form factor

The success of the Pura X, according to reports, hinges on a sophisticated software ecosystem – a staggering number of developers adapting their apps to the device’s dual displays, and Huawei’s HarmonyOS providing a stable foundation. Yet, even the most impressive software can’t mask a fundamental flaw: Apple needs to flawlessly integrate iOS 27 with this new form factor. The disastrous launch of iOS 26 should serve as a stark warning.

And let’s be blunt: even with a successful iOS adaptation, I’m skeptical about the iPhone Ultra’s potential. The renders are aesthetically pleasing, but a one-handed experience feels unlikely, and that comparatively small external display – a mere 3.5 inches – doesn’t inspire confidence. It’s a collection of compromises that, frankly, feels more like a compelling technical exercise than a genuinely compelling user experience.

Brand power vs. user perception

Brand power vs. user perception

Apple’s inherent advantage – the sheer weight of its brand recognition in China – can't be discounted. Like Huawei, Apple enjoys significant clout in the region, which will undoubtedly drive initial sales. But brand loyalty alone won't sustain a product at a premium price point. The iPhone Ultra needs to deliver a transformative experience, not just a slightly different shape.

Ultimately, I anticipate the iPhone Ultra will be a niche product – a fascinating experiment that fails to capture the mainstream. It risks becoming another cautionary tale, echoing the missteps of past ‘innovative’ Apple offerings. The hype surrounding this foldable is significant, but it’s built on shaky foundations and a considerable degree of wishful thinking.